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Chicago Curriculum Economists Exam Questions

Chicago. Paul Samuelson and Jacob Mosak. A.B. Comprehensive Exam Grades. 1935

November 2003. Samuelson and I after Bergson Commemoration.

Welcome to my blog, Economics in the Rear-View Mirror. If you find this posting interesting, here is the complete list of “artifacts” from the history of economics I have assembled for you to sample or click on the search icon in the upper right to explore by name, university, or category. You can subscribe to my blog below.  There is also an opportunity to comment following each posting….

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Paul Samuelson and Jacob Mosak were undergraduate classmates at the University of Chicago. The two of them along with 27 other students were required to take a battery of comprehensive examinations in economics for the Bachelor’s degree.   I found the distribution of grades for the comprehensive exams over the period 1934-1938 in the economic department records, as well as the distribution of grades for the separate courses taken by the 29 students.

Plot-spoiler: Paul Samuelson was the top undergraduate student at Chicago in the Spring Quarter of 1935 (or perhaps ever) and the first runner up, who lived to the grand old age of 99,  also went on to have a full and distinguished career as an economics professional. Mosak’s greatest research hit in economics was his Cowles Foundation Monograph, General Equilibrium Theory in International Trade (1944).

I have appended to this posting descriptive material about the comprehensive exams and the descriptions of the individual courses along with instructor names according to the 1934-1935 Announcements.

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REPORT ON PAST COMPREHENSIVE EXAMINATIONS FOR THE BACHELOR’S DEGREE IN THE DEPARTMENT OF ECONOMICS

 

Quarter

 A B C D E F

Total

Spring, 1934

 1 1

Winter, 1935

 1 3 3* 7

Spring, 1935

 3 11 12     3

29
Summer, 1935 1 2 1

4
Autumn, 1935 2 1 3

6

Winter, 1936

 1 1 3 2 7

Spring, 1936

 3 8 5 3 0 3 22

Summer, 1936

 1 4 3 8
Autumn, 1936 1 2 1

4
Winter, 1937 1 2 1

4
Spring, 1937 3 8 4 4 3

22

Summer, 1937

 1 5   2   2 10
15 35 35 14 0 25

124
*Includes one unfinished examination. [name omitted]
[Handwritten additions:]

Winter, 1938

   1 3     1 5

Spring, 1938

 3 4 10 3   2 22
18 40 48 17   28

151
% 11.92 26.49 31.79 11.25   18.54

 

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[Number of students awarded a particular grade by economics course numbers for the Spring Quarter 1935 comprehensive examinations]

209 210* 211 212 220 221-2 230 240 260 270** [Comp. Avg. ]

A+

 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1

A

 1 0 2 0 1 0 1 2 4 0 1

A-

 5 1 1 0 2 0 1 1 1 0 1

B+

 7 1 1 0 2 0 1 4 1 0 1

B

 6 4 2 0 1 0 3 5 3 4 9

B-

 4 1 1 0 2 0 5 3 1 2 1

C+

 0 2 6 0 0 0 4 3 3 7

4
C 1 6 5 0 4 9 3 1 0 1

8
C- 2 4 3 0 1 0 2 0 1 2

0
D+ 0 3 0 0 2 0 2 0 0 0

0
D 0 2 3 0 1 3 2 0 0 2

0
D- 0 2 0 0 0 0 4 0 1 0

0
E/F 2 3 4 0 0 1 1 0 2 3

3

Samuelson

 A A- A A A A A A+
Mosak A+ B+ A A+ C- B- A

A

*Numerical grades reported for this course, converted to letter grade using the following scale:

A+ (95-100); A (93-94); A- (90-92);
B+ (87-89); B (83-86);       B- (80-82);
C+ (77-79); C (73-76); C- (70-72);
D+ (67-69); D (63-66); D- (60-62);
F (0-59).

**For four cases of exact border-line grades in Economics 270, e.g. B+/A-, I have assigned the higher grade.

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[Role of the Comprehensive Examinations]

THE BACHELOR’S DEGREE

On admission to the Division, the students specializing in the Department arranges with the Departmental Counselor a suitable program of study in economics. He is expected to include in his departmental program the materials of 7 courses beyond Social science I and II. His comprehensive examination in economics will cover economic theory, accounting, statistics, economic history, and money and banking, as developed in Economics 209, 210, 211, 220 or 221, and 230. The comprehensive examination will also cover two elective fields, preferably labor, government finance, or international economic relations, as developed in Economics 240, 260, and 270. The scope and content of the several courses mentioned are indicated in the course announcements printed below.

[…]

THE DEGREE OF MASTER OF ARTS

[…]

The specific requirements for the Master’s degree are:

  1. A minimum of 8 courses, or their equivalent (of which at least 6 must be in Grades II and III above). At some previous time the candidate should have covered the substantial equivalent of the requirements for the Bachelor’s degree in Economics. This equivalence may be shown by courses taken or by examination. The candidate must also have the preparation in the other social sciences required for the Bachelor’s degree at the University….

[…]

[Economics Course Descriptions 1934-35]

 

  1. Intermediate Economic Theory. – A course designed for undergraduates majoring in economics who have completed the other departmental requirements for the degree, and for graduate students with limited training in systematic theory. It deals with forces controlling, through the price system, the organization of economic activity. Prerequisite: Senior standing and Economics 210, 211, 230 or their equivalents. Summer, 10:00; Autumn, 11:00; Winter, 11:00, [Paul Howard] Douglas.
  1. Introduction to Accounting. – (1) The principles of double-entry accounting. (2) The principles of valuation and of income determination; the mathematical problems arising from accumulating and discounting future sums and annuities. (3) A survey of the uses and limitations of accounting information and compares the concepts of cost used by accountants and by economists. Prerequisite: Social Science I and II or their equivalent. Summer, 11:00, [Wilfrid Merrill] Helms; Autumn, 9:00, Shields; Spring, 11:00, [Theodore Otte] Yntema.
  1. Introduction to Statistics. – The elementary principles of statistics. Main topics: frequency distributions, correlations, time series, index numbers. Prerequisite: Mathematics 104 or its equivalent. Summer, 10:00, [John Higson] Cover; Autumn, 11:00, [Henry] Schultz; Winter, 9:00,—.
  2. Intermediate Statistics. [not offered 1934-35, description from 1933-34 follows] This course extends the scope of Economics 211 to include a brief introduction to partial and multiple correlation, but its main objective is to make the elementary statistical methods part of the working equipment of the student. Prerequisite: Economics 211 and introductory courses in economics, accounting, finance, and marketing. Spring 9:00, [Aaron] Director.
  1. Economic History of the United States. – A general survey from the colonial settlements down to the present emphasizing the period since 1860. Prerequisite: Social Science I and II or their equivalent. Summer, 8:00, [Albert Gailord] Hart; Winter 1:30, [Chester Whitney] Wright.
  1. Economic History of Classical and Western European Civilization. –A survey of industrial conditions in their relation to economic, social, political, and cultural history at selected periods and in selected countries, undertaken with a view to understanding the nature and significance of modern industrialism. Prerequisite: Social Science I and 2 courses in European history, or equivalent. Autumn, 1:30; Spring, 1:30, [John Ulric] Nef.
  1. Introduction to Money and Banking. – A study of the factors which determine the value of money in the short and in the long run; the problem of index numbers of price levels; and the operation of the commercial banking system and its relation to the price level and general business activity. Prerequisite: Social Science I and II or equivalent. Summer, 9:00, [Albert Gailord] Hart; Autumn, 1:30, [Lloyd Wynn] Mints; Spring, 9:00, [Albert Gailord] Hart.
  1. Labor Problems. – General survey of problems of labor arising in a system of free enterprise. Poverty, inequality, conditions of work, and unemployment are some of the topics considered. Trade-unionism and collective bargaining contrasted with state legislation as devices for dealing with these problems. Prerequisite: Social Science I and II or equivalent. Spring, 10:00, [Paul Howard] Douglas.
  1. Introduction to Government Finance. – A course dealing with fiscal problems of government, mainly in their economic aspect. Practices in regard to expenditure, taxation, and borrowing studied in problems of policy critically examined. Prerequisite: Social Science I and II or equivalent. Spring, 11:00, [Henry Calvert] Simons.
  1. International Economic Relations. – A survey of international economic relations with special emphasis on the theory of international trade and the economic foreign-policy of the United States. Are Prerequisite: Social Science I and II or equivalent. Winter, 11:00, [Harry David] Gideonse.

 

Source: University of Chicago Announcements. The College and the Divisions for the Sessions of 1934-1935. pp. 281-285.

Image Source:  Photo taken of Paul Samuelson and me at the Harvard Faculty Club following the memorial service for Abram Bergson in November 2003.

 

Categories
Courses Exam Questions M.I.T. Suggested Reading Syllabus

M.I.T. Intermediate Macroeconomics. Modigliani, 1961

Welcome to my blog, Economics in the Rear-View Mirror. If you find this posting interesting, here is the list of “artifacts” from the history of economics I have already assembled for you to sample or click on the search icon in the upper right to explore by name, university, or category. You can subscribe to my blog below.  There is also an opportunity to comment below….

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These course materials for undergraduate intermediate macroeconomics at MIT in the Spring term of the 1960/61 academic year are clearly identified as being for a course taught by Franco Modigliani. As it happens from time to time, one finds syllabi and reading lists in the files of colleagues and not just in the papers of students who took the course or the professors who taught them. These materials from reading list through class-assignments, term-paper assignment, up to and including the final examination all come from Robert Solow’s papers at the Duke University library’s Economists’ Papers Project. 

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14.05 Economic Fluctuations and Growth

Prereq.: 14.02
Year: U(1,2)     3-0-5

Analytical study of determinants of national income level, employment, and prices; study of their fluctuations and long-run trends. Consideration of historical and current behavior of the economic system, and role of stabilization policies.

Modigliani

Source:   Massachusetts Institute of Technology Bulletin. The General Catalogue Issue for the Centennial Year 1960-61. p. 240.

 

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Spring, 1961
Professor Modigliani

 

14.05—Economic Fluctuations and Growth
READING LIST

 

Suggested Purchases: Dernburg & McDougall, Macro-Economics (1960)—(referred to below as D&M)
US Department of Commerce, U.S. Income and Output (1958)
Federal Reserve Chart Book, Historical Supplement (1960)

Review references in each section are to Samuelson, Economics (4th ed., 1958)

 

I. Introduction

Review: Samuelson, Ch. 1
New: D&M, Ch. 1

Friedman: Essays in Positive Economics, pp. 1-30.

II. National Income and Other Measures of Economic Activity.

Review: Samuelson, Ch. 10
New:   D&M, Ch. 1-5

Hart, Money, Debt, and Economic Activity (2nd ed., pp. 167-171)
G. Moore, Statistical Indicators of Cyclical Revivals and Recessions, pp. 1-20, 63-77
Survey of Current Business—“The Business Situation” in a recent issue, and look at annual review in February, 1960, number.

References: For current business conditions and course problems, get acquainted with the following, by examining thoroughly at least one recent issue:

Survey of Current Business (monthly; annual summary in February; National Income issue in July)
Federal Reserve Bulletin (monthly)
Economic Indicators (monthly; historical supplement, 1957)
See Bratt, Business Cycles and Forecasting (1953), Chapter 15, for additional source material

III. The Supply of Money and the Banking System.

Review: Samuelson, Chap. 15 and Appendix, 16.
New:   Hart, Money, Debt, etc., Ch. 4 and 6.

Federal Reserve System: Purposes and Functions

IV. The Determinants of the Level of National Income.

A. Monetary Approaches

Review: Samuelson, Ch. 14 and Appendix
New:   D&M, Ch. 9

Hart, Money, Debt, Ch. 10, 12

B. The Theory of Effective Demand

Review: Samuelson, Ch. 11, 12
New: D&M, Ch. 6, 7

Hart, Money, Debt, Ch. 11, pp. 167-179
(optional) Modigliani & Brumberg, “Utility Analysis and the Consumption Function”, in Post-Keynesian Economics (esp. pp. 388-418)
(optional) Ando, “Aggregative Implications of the Modigliani-Brumberg Consumption Function” (mimeographed), pp. 1-118 and Summary

V. Cyclical Fluctuations and Growth.

A. Nature and Causes of Economic Fluctuations

Review: Samuelson, Ch. 13
New: D&M, Ch 19, Section 1-3

Metzler, “The Nature and Stability of Inventory Cycles”, Review of Economics and Statistics, 1941-42
Modigliani, “Business Reasons for Holding Inventories and their Macro-economic Implications”, pp. 495-506
Modigliani, “Discussion of Hickman on Capacity, Capacity Utilization and the Acceleration Principle”, pp. 450-463 N.B.E.R. reprint
Cobren, “Inventories in Postwar Business Cycles”, Survey of Current Business, April, 1959
Tinbergen, The Dynamics of Business Cycles, Ch. 13
Hicks, Trade Cycle, Ch. 8, 9 (optional)
Fortune, series on the capital goods market in August, September, November, and December, 1958. (Sample, especially December issue.)

References only: Summaries of historical development of business cycle theories: Haberler, Prosperity and Depression, Part I.

B. Growth and its Interrelation with Cycles

D&M Ch. 16, 17
Abramovitz, Resource and Output Trends in the U.S. since 1870
(optional) Ando & Modigliani, “Growth Fluctuations and Stability”, AER, May 1959, pp. 501-524
Bratt, Business Cycles and Forecasting (1953 ed.), Ch. 3
“A New Look at Production Growth Rates”, in Survey of Current Business, April 1957
Fortune, “The Market of the 1960’s” (series of 9 articles, Jan.-Sept. 1959) (Sample, esp. April issue)
Committee for Economic Development, Economic Growth in the United States (hurriedly)

VI. Business Forecasting.

Charles Roos, “Survey of Economics Forecasting Techniques”, Econometrica, October 1955
Moore, Statistical Indicators of Cyclical Revivals and Recessions, pp. 63-77 (National Bureau of Economic Research Method)
Moore, Measuring Recessions, esp. pp. 259-272
Sidney S. Alexander, “Rate of Change Approaches to Forecasting—Diffusion Indexes and First Differences”, The Economic Journal, June 1958
Fortune, “The Business Roundup”, January 1960
“1959 Survey of Consumer Finances”, Federal Reserve Bulletin, July and September 1959 (note supplementary tables)
Klein & Lansing, “Decisions to Purchase Consumer Durable Goods”, Journal of Marketing, October 1955
Fortune, series cited above on “The Market of the 1960’s” and on “The Coming Capital Goods Boom”
Modigliani & Weingartner, “Forecasting Uses of Anticipatory Data on Investment and Sales”
Bassie, Economic Forecasting (good general reference)
Abramson and Mack, Business Forecasting in Practice (for reference)

VII. Public Policy and Economic Stabilization.

A. Synthesis of Monetary and Income Analysis

Review: Samuelson, Ch. 17
New: D&M, Ch. 8, 9, 10

B. Monetary Policy

D&M, Ch. 11
United States Monetary Policy (American Assembly) –(esp. Ch. 1, 2, 4, 6)
Friedman, “The Supply of Money and Changes in Output”, in The Relationship of Prices to Economic Stability and Growth (Joint Econ. Committee)
Bach, “The Economics and Politics of Money”, Harvard Business Review 1953 (reprint)
Committee on the Economic Report (Patman Subcommittee)—Replies pp. 368-384, 402-428 (for reference)

C. Fiscal and Debt Policy

Review: Samuelson, Ch. 18
New:   D&M, Ch. 20, 21

The Federal Budget in Brief for Fiscal 1961 (get acquainted; copy of complete budget also on reserve)
Committee on Economic Development, Taxes and the Budget; also reprinted in Readings in Fiscal Policy (Parts I and II only)
Committee on Economic Development, The Budget and Economic Growth
Samuelson, “The New Look in Tax and Fiscal Policy”, in Federal Tax Policy for Economic Growth and Stability, pp. 229-34
Butters, “Taxation, Incentives, and Financial Capacity”, in Readings in Fiscal Policy
McCracken, “The Debt Problem and Economic Growth”, Michigan Business Review, November 1956

D. Wages, Productivity, Prices, and Inflation

D&M, Ch. 12, 14, 18
Wages, Prices, Profits and Productivity, American Assembly, (esp. Ch. 1, 3, 4, 6)

E. Overall Stabilization Policy and Economic Growth.

Friedman, “Framework for Monetary-Fiscal Stability”, Readings in Monetary Theory, OR;
Bach, “Monetary-Fiscal Policy Reconsidered”, Readings in Fiscal Policy
Rockefeller Committee, The Challenge to America
C. E. D. Defense Against Inflation, July 1958
Eckstein, “Inflation, the Wage-Price Spiral, and Economic Growth”, in The Relationship of Prices to Economic Stability and Growth (Joint Economic Committee)
Bach, Inflation, Ch. 2, 4
Samuelson and Solow, “Analytical Aspects of Anti-Inflation Policy”, AER May 1959 (reprint)

VIII. International Aspects.

Review: Samuelson, Ch. 31 and Appendix
New:   D&M, Ch. 15

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Spring 1961
Professor Modigliani

14.05 – Economic Fluctuations and Growth
GUIDE SHEET TO BASIC ECONOMIC DATA SOURCES.

BASIC HISTORICAL INFORMATION:

Historical Statistics of the United States Colonial Times to 1952 (U. S. Government Printing Office) – Data on all major economic and many social areas, with descriptions of series.

U. S. Income and Output – A Supplement to the Survey of Current Business, providing data of all components of gross national product, 1929-1957.

Banking and Monetary Statistics, 1860-1941 (Board of Governors, Federal Reserve System)-More detailed series on money and banking, with descriptions of series.

The Economic Almanac (published annually by the National Industrial Conference Board) – each issue repeats large amount of historical data, some back to 1790. Several of these series go back further than the official government series; as such, they are often less accurate because of the less adequate coverage of the series and larger likely estimating errors involved.

(U. S. Census (U. S. Government Printing Office) – Vast amounts of data on most aspects of the economic life of business and individual, reaching back to 1790. Difficult to use without assistance or experience.

CURRENT DATA – OFFICIAL SOURCES

Survey of Current Business (U. S. Department of Commerce, monthly) – The most complete source of basic economic data, plus objective analyses of various economic developments. An annual survey is published each year in the February issue, and Annual Statistical Supplements have been issued in several recent years, which provide the data in more easily usable form than do most of the monthly issues.*

Federal Reserve Bulletin (Board of Governors, Federal Reserve System, monthly) – The basic source of current official monetary and banking data, plus monthly analyses of monetary developments.

Monthly Labor Review (U. S. Department of Labor) – The basic source of current official data on labor and on price movements, plus monthly analyses of developments in these areas.

Statistical Abstract of the U. S. (U. S. Government Printing Office, annually) – The basic annual compilation of all U. S. Government statistical data; corresponds to the Historical Statistics of the United States, above.

*Business Statistics, 1959 Biennial Edition – The latest major supplement to the Survey. It includes all major series published in the Survey, from 1929 through 1958 in most cases.

CURRENT DATA AND ANALYSES—UNOFFICIAL

There are a vast number of analyses of current economic developments published. Among the more widely recognized as careful and influential are:

Monthly Letter of the National City Bank of New York – General business conditions and financial conditions.

Fortune Magazine (monthly) – Current business analyses and industry studies, written from a relatively “liberal” business slant.

The Conference Board Business Record (National Industrial Conference Board, monthly) – Briefly analyzes current developments; more conservative than Fortune.

CURRENT EVENTS—NEWSPAPERS

Three newspapers are widely thought to provide the most complete coverage of current economic events. They are:

New York Times (daily and Sunday) – Provides the most complete coverage of current economic events.

New York Herald-Tribune (daily and Sunday) – The Times’ closest rival.

Wall Street Journal (daily) – Leading financial and business paper. Complete daily data on most important markets; also includes many speculative news stories and analyses of current and expected developments.

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Spring, 1961
Professor Modigliani

14.05-Economic Fluctuations and Growth
WRITTEN ASSIGNMENTS

I. Due Monday, February 13

“Inflation erodes the purchasing power of the dollar, robs the average man, and lowers the national standard of living. These results are pernicious and disastrous. Inflation must be avoided.” (Excerpt from recent statement by U. S. Senator)

Do you agree with the Senator? Why or why not?

 

II. Due Friday, September 17

Prepare a brief report (two to three pages) on the current business conditions and the outlook for the next six to twelve months.

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Spring, 1961
Professor Modigliani

14.05-Economic Fluctuations and Growth
WRITTEN ASSIGNMENT

III. Due February 24

Economists as well as politicians are very much concerned with the overall burden of taxes, or share of the nation’s income taxed away by the government.

Using as a framework for National Income Accounts of the Department of Commerce, state and defend what seems to you the most useful and meaningful measure of the “share of the nation’s income taken by the government” (paying attention to the numerator as well as to the denominator). Compute this year for 1948 and 1957.

Is the above concept identical with the “share of the nation’s output of goods and services consumed by the government”? If not, define the second concept and measure this year for the same two years.

Include any comments that may be suggested by your empirical findings.

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Spring, 1961
Professor Modigliani

14.05-Economic Fluctuations and Growth
WRITTEN ASSIGNMENT

IV. Due March 6

In a small, completely isolated economy (i.e., no foreign trade with money-using habits comparable to those of the U. S., there are four identical banks. Each bank’s balance sheet is as follows:

Cash $3,000,000 Deposits $8,000,000
Loans 2,000,000
Government Securities 5,000,000 Capital and Surplus 2,000,000
$10,000,000 $10,000,000

The law prescribes that banks must hold a 20% cash reserve against deposits. There is no central bank.

(a) A customer of bank letter a minds $1 million of gold (considered as cash for reserve purposes) and deposits it in his bank. Trace through any likely expansion of the money supply by Bank Letter a and by the entire banking system. What would be the maximum expansion possible?
Specify clearly any assumptions that you make, and state your reasoning carefully and precisely.

(b) Is the banking system in a more or less sound position after the gold deposit in any consequences you have predicted above? Explain why or why not.

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Spring, 1961
Professor Modigliani

14.05-Economic Fluctuations and Growth
WRITTEN ASSIGNMENT

V. Due March 10

In 196X the Federal Government will collect about 85 billion in taxes, according to present estimates, which also indicate that the money will be used roughly as follows:

Regular government expenses $77 billion
Repayment of government debt
…..Held by commercial banks 3 billion
…..Held by individuals and businesses other than banks 5 billion

Suppose these estimates are accurate, and assume it Government deposits are carried out with the commercial banks.

a. What will be the effect of these operations on the amount of money (current and deposits) owned by the public (including individuals and businesses other than banks)?

b. What will be the effect on the amount of total liquid assets (money plus government securities) owned by the public?

c. How, if at all, would your answers to (a) and (b) have been different if:

(1) All bonds paid off had been owned by commercial banks.
(2) All months paid off had been owned by the Federal Reserve Banks.

d. What generalization, if any, can you draw from this reasoning as to the most effective means of retiring the government debt, if the main aim is to alleviate inflationary pressure.

Explained concisely the reasoning by which to obtain the answers given.

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14.05-Economic Fluctuations and Growth
TERM PAPER—DUE MAY 15, 1961

Write an essay on the postwar “creeping inflation” in the U.S. – Its nature, causes and possible remedies. The essay should review the major explanations that have been advanced (e.g. cost-push and demand-poll); assess their usefulness in the light of the empirical evidence; and provide a formulation of your own conclusions and the evidence which supports them. It should further examine the implications of your analysis with respect to the outlook for price stability in the years immediately ahead.

The following items have been placed on reserve in Dewey Library to serve as a starting point, you should feel free to trace and use other references.

Books

American Assembly, Wages, Productivity, Prices, and Inflation
American Assembly, Wages, Prices, Profits and Productivity
Bowen, W. G., The Wage–Price Issue

Pamphlets, Monographs, Periodicals, etc.

Bowen, W. G., “Wage Behavior in the Postwar Period”, monograph, Industrial Relations Section, Princeton University, 1960
Eckstein, O., “Inflation, the Wage-Price Spiral, and Economic Growth”, in The Relationship of Prices to Economic Stability and Growth (Joint Economic Committee)
Phelps, E. S., “A Test for the Presence of Cost Inflation in the United States, 1955-1957”, Yale Economic Essays, Spring 1961
Samuelson and Solow, “Analytical Aspects of Anti-Inflation Policy”, AER, May 1960
Schultze, C., “The Recent Inflation in the United States”, Study Paper No. 1, Joint Economic Committee, 1959
Selden, R., “Cost-Push Versus Demand-Pull”, JPE, February 1959

___________________________________________

Prof. Modigliani
May 24, 1961

 

14.05 – ECONOMIC FLUCTUATIONS AND GROWTH
Final Examination

Answer all Questions.

I. Indicate whether the following statements are true or false and give a brief explanation of your answer. Major weight attaches to the explanation. (5 points per question)

(a) The money supply can always be increased through the Federal Reserve open market purchases.

(b) The relation between the two main demand liabilities of the FRB, namely Federal Reserve notes and member bank deposits is determined primarily by reserve requirements.

(c) Inflation will tend to occur whenever the money supply rises faster than productivity.

(d) Liquidity preference helps to explain why the velocity of circulation tends to vary over the business cycle.

(e) If the rate of investment expenditure declines, the stock of capital goods in the economy declines.

(f) Built-in flexibility in fiscal policy means that the level of government expenditure should vary countercyclically.

(g) A high marginal tax rate has a stabilizing effect on the economy by reducing the marginal propensity to consume.

(h) The most important characteristic of a good leading indicator is that it should always turn ahead of general business conditions.

 

II. (20 points) Given the following information (in billions of dollars per year):

Full employment income (Yf) 300
Consumption expenditure 20 plus 80 percent of disposable income
Government purchase of goods and services 50
Government receipts 20 percent of national income (Y)
Transfer payments 10 plus 5 percent of the difference between Yf and Y
Net investment 22

(a) Calculate the equilibrium level of income implied by this information and explain carefully in what sense it is an “equilibrium” level.

(b) What rate of investment would be required to bring about full utilization of resources? What measures other than an increase in investment could be utilized to reach full employment?

 

III. (20 points) Define the following concepts:

(a) multiplier

(b) capital coefficient

(c) acceleration principle,

and explain their use in business cycle analysis.

 

IV. (20 points) Explain the functioning of monetary policy as a stabilization device, and analyze its strength and weaknesses.

 

Source: Duke University. Rosenstein Library. Robert Solow Papers. Box 68. Folders “Reading Lists”, “Assignments, home problems”, and “Exams, tests, quizzes”.

Categories
Courses Exam Questions Harvard Socialism Syllabus

Harvard. Economics of Socialism. Mason and Sweezy, 1938

Between one slice of two weeks of pre-Marxian socialism and a slice of two weeks of the economics of planning, Mason and Sweezy offered their students a full portion of Marxian economics with an added dash of Leninism. This posting provides the enrollment, syllabus and final examination questions for 1938. Future Nobel prize laureate James Tobin was a student in the course and he took excellent notes! Here  a link to the Economics of Socialism that Paul Sweezy taught by himself in 1940.

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Welcome to my blog, Economics in the Rear-View Mirror. If you find this posting interesting, here is the complete list of “artifacts” from the history of economics I have assembled for you to sample or click on the search icon in the upper right to explore by name, university, or category. You can subscribe to my blog below.  There is also an opportunity to comment following each posting….

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[Course Enrollment: Economics of Socialism]

[Economics] 11b 2hf. (formerly 7d). Professor Mason and Dr. P. M. Sweezy.—Economics of Socialism.

1 Graduate; 27 Seniors; 23 Juniors; 1 Sophomore: Total 52.

Source: Harvard University. Report of the President of Harvard and Reports of Departments for 1937-38, p. 85.

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ECONOMICS 11 b
Outline and Reading
1937 – 38

Week of
Feb. 7-12
Mason		 a.  Outline of Course
b.  Utopian and Scientific Socialism
c.  Nature of Socialism as Utopia
Feb. 14-19
Mason		 a.  Saint-Simon
b.  Fourier
c.  Robert Owen
Reading:

Engels, Anti-Dühring, Part III
Strachey, Theory and Practice of Socialism, Part III
Gide and Rist, History of Economic Doctrines, Book II,
Chs. 2 & 3
Feb. 21-26
Mason		 a.  Life and Works of Marx and Engels
b.  Dialectical materialism and
c.  Historical materialism
Reading:

Riazanov, Marx and Engels
Feb. 28-Mar. 5
Mason		 a.  Theory of Classes
b.  Theory of the State
c.  The State and Revolution
Reading:    Handbook of Marxism [Burns],

Ch. I (Communist Manifesto)
Ch. IV (Class Struggles in France),
Ch. V (18th Brumaire),
Ch. VII (Civil War in France),
Ch. XX (Introduction to the Critique of Political Economy)
Mar. 7-12
Mason		 a.  Theory of Value
b.  Theory of Value
c.  General Tendencies of Capitalist Development
Mar. 14-19
Mason		 a.  Concentration and Centralization of Capital
b.  Monopoly Problem in Capitalism
c.  According to Marx and Lenin
Mar. 21-26
Mason		 a.  Marxian and Modern Views on
b.  Wages and Technological Unemployment
c.  Marxian Theory of Crises
Mar. 28-Apr. 2
Sweezy		 a.  Marxian Theory of Crises
b.  Imperialism
c.  Imperialism
Reading:

Handbook of Marxism, Ch. XXI (Capital)
Capital, Vol. I, Part VII, Ch. XXV, Sections 1, 2, 3, 4
Lenin, Imperialism

VACATION
Apr. 11-16
Mason		 a.
b.  The Socialist Movement After Marx
c.
Apr. 18-23
Mason		 a.
b.  Marxian Schools of Thought

Reading:

Sidney Hook, Towards the Understanding of Karl Marx, Part I
Further assignment to be announced.
Apr. 25-May 7
Sweezy		 Two weeks to be devoted to the following topics:
1.  Marxian and Orthodox Economics
[Handwritten note:] Rev of Ec Studies June ‘35
2.  The Allocation of Resources in Socialist Society
Reading:

Lange, Marxian Economics and Modern Economic Theory                         [Handwritten note:] Rev of Ec Studies June ‘35
Hayek, Collectivist Economic Planning, Chs. I, III, V
Pigou, Socialism versus Capitalism

Reading Period:

Sidney and Beatrice Webb, Soviet Communism, Vol. II
Chs. VIII, IX
[Handwritten additions:]
Ch 6 Lippman

Oct. 36 Rev of Ec Studies—Lange—On the Economic Theory of Socialism—Taussig memorial—Sweezy—Economist in Socialist State.

_____________________________

 

1937-38
HARVARD UNIVERSITY
ECONOMICS 11b/2 

I

(About one hour)
Reading Period Question

  1. What features of the Russian economic system do you think could be adopted by a capitalist country? What features seem to you to be peculiarly the product of socialism and hence inapplicable under a capitalist system? 

II

Answer four questions

  1. “The most egregious error committed by the Marxist theorists is in misunderstanding and underrating the strength of the middle classes.” Discuss.

 

  1. What arguments does Mises use to support his claim that socialism is impossible? Do you agree with these arguments? State your reasons.

 

  1. Summarize the fundamentals of Lenin’s theory of imperialism. What do you regard as the particular merits or weaknesses of this theory?

 

  1. “To what extent is it true to say that the doctrine of the ‘withering away of the state’ implies anarchism as the ultimate goal of Marxian socialism?

 

  1. State and criticize the Marxian theory of value.

 

  1. Do you think that Marxists are justified in regarding crises and depressions as inevitable under capitalism? What grounds are there for believing that they might be eliminated under socialism?

 

Final. 1938

Source: Yale University Library, Manuscripts and Archives. James Tobin Papers, Box 6.

Image Source: Mason and Sweezy portraits from the Harvard Album 1939.

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Chicago Exam Questions

Chicago. Exam questions for Oskar Lange’s Imperfect Competition Course, 1941 & 1944

Welcome to my blog, Economics in the Rear-View Mirror. If you find this posting interesting, here is the complete list of “artifacts” from the history of economics I have assembled for you to sample or click on the search icon in the upper right to explore by name, university, or category. You can subscribe to my blog below.  There is also an opportunity to comment following each posting….

__________________________

The economist Norman M. Kaplan’s papers includes the reading list, two exams, and over 200 pages of his clear and legible lecture notes from Oskar Lange’s graduate theory course on imperfect competition at the University of Chicago. I have already posted the reading list for the Autumn quarter of 1941. This posting consists of the course exam questions for both 1941 and 1944.

_________________________

The course description in the 1944-45 course announcements
[identical to course description in 1941-42 announcements]

  1. Imperfect Competition.—A study of price formation and production under various transitional forms between perfect competition and pure monopoly, such as monopolistic and monopsonistic competition, noncompeting groups, oligopoly and bilateral monopoly. The problem of equilibrium under such forms. Noncompeting groups and social structure. Application of the theory to the study of distribution of incomes, collective bargaining, excess capacity, price rigidity, and business cycles. Imperfect competition and economic policy. Prerequisite: Economics 209 or equivalent. Sum[mer] 2d hf 1st T and 1st hf 2d T [C. ½ C in 2d hf 1st T]: MWF 1-3; Autumn, TuThS 10; Lange.

Source: University of Chicago. Announcements of the College and the Divisions for the Sessions of 1941. Vol. XLIV, No. 8 (May 15, 1944), p. 275.

_________________________

 

ECONOMICS 307
Autumn, 1941

(Answer briefly)

I.

The following table shows the demand (sales) schedule and the total cost schedule from a monopolist producing a patented medicine:

Output
(in units)

 Price (per unit) at which
output can be sold
(in dollars)

Total cost
(in dollars)

0

 10

1000

100

 9

1200

200

 8

1400

300

 7

1600

400

 6

1800

500

 5

2000

600

 4

2200
  1. Calculate the total revenue in the marginal revenue schedules
  2. Calculate the marginal cost, average cost and average variable cost schedules. Indicate the fixed cost
  3. Find the most profitable output and price. Showed that it is not affected by a change in fixed cost
  4. Calculate the net profit.

 

II.

  1. Explain the conditions under which monopolistic and monopsonistic price discrimination is (a) possible, (b) advantageous to the firm
  2. Assuming that the firm finds it possible and advantageous to practice monopolistic or monopsonistic price discrimination, indicate the relationship between (in the case of monopoly) the prices charged in the different markets and the respective elasticities of demand, or (in the case of monopsony) between the prices paid in the different markets and the respective elasticities of supply
  3. What can be said about the social desirability of monopolistic price discrimination from the point of view of welfare economics?

 

III.

  1. Explain by means of a diagram the formation of the wage-rate under conditions of monopsony in the labor market. What is the relation of the wage rate to the value of the marginal product of labor?
  2. Explain and discuss critically the concepts of “monopolistic exploitation” and of “monopsonistic exploitation” of labor
  3. Give a diagrammatic account of the effects of trade-unionism (with uniform wage-rates) and of control of monopoly upon the demand for labor by a firm (or industry).
  4. Indicate on the diagram the wage-rate you would impose if you were a government arbitrator. Discussed her decision in terms of (a) the level of employment, (b) the principles of welfare economics, (c) social justice (indicate your criteria of “justice”).

 

IV.

  1. Discuss the fundamental difficulty of the theory of oligopoly and explain how it is solved in (a) Chamberlin’s theory of monopolistic competition, (b) on the basis of rules of group behavior endowed with the dignity of ethical norms
  2. Discuss the significance of the kinked demand curve sub (1b) with regard to (a) price rigidity, (b) the functional distribution of incomes

 

V.

Discuss by means of a diagram the case of “service competition” between oligopolistic firms bound by a price agreement. Show (a) how the output of a firm is determined in this case and (b) the difference between this case and that of atomistic competition.

 

_________________________

 

ECONOMICS 307
December, 1944

I.

Describe Chamberlin’s theory of monopolistic competition and explain:

  1. the “excess capacity” obtaining when the firm and the group are both in equilibrium; distinguish between short and long-period “excess capacity”; which of the two presents a waste of resources from the social point of view and why.
  2. What assumptions about other firms’ reactions are made in Chamberlin’s theory.
  3. What criticisms can be made of Chamberlin’s theory.

 

II.

  1. Explain by means of a diagram the formation of the wage-rate under conditions of monopsony in the labor market. What is the relation of the wage rate to the value of the marginal product of labor?
  2. Explain and discuss critically the concept of “monopolistic exploitation” and of “monopsonistic exploitation” of labor.
  3. Give a diagrammatic account of the effects of trade-unionism (with uniform wage-rates) upon the demand for labor by a firm (or industry).
  4. Indicate on the diagram the wage-rate you would impose if you were a government arbitrator. Discuss your decision in terms of (a) the level of employment, (b) the principles of welfare economics, (c) social justice. (indicate your criteria of “justice”).

 

III.

Explain the reasons which lead under oligopoly to formation of a conventional price and state:

  1. Why is the demand curve likely to have a “kink” at the level of the conventional price;
  2. What is the shape of the marginal revenue curve in this case;
  3. Within what limits will a shift of the marginal cost curve leave price and output unaffected (illustrated by diagram);
  4. What bearing has this upon the problem of trade-unionism and wage-fixing.

 

IV.

“Total output is maximized when the ratios of the marginal productivities of any two factors are the same in each industry.”

  1. Explain what is meant in this context by “total output being maximized.”
  2. Give a simple numerical illustration of the theorem.

 

Source: University of Chicago Archives. Norman M. Kaplan Papers, Box 2, Folder 7.

Image Source:  Oskar Lange monument at Wroclaw University of Economics. Wikimedia Commons.

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Economists Exam Questions M.I.T.

MIT. Final Exam in Graduate Macro I. Stanley Fischer, 1975

Welcome to my blog, Economics in the Rear-View Mirror. If you find this posting interesting, here is the list of “artifacts” from the history of economics I have already assembled for you to sample or click on the search icon in the upper right to explore by name, university, or category. You can subscribe to my blog below.  There is also an opportunity to comment below….

______________________

Today another posting from the more recent history of economics for that professor who succeeded where others had failed before him, namely in first teaching me the economic intuition behind macroeconomic models, Stanley Fischer. While James Tobin had succeeded in convincing the undergraduate me of the utter importance of getting macroeconomic policy right, I was still much too immature to “receive wisdom” as a sophomore…but enough about me.

I thought of Stan Fisher this morning as I read his marvelous summary of his own 55 years of experience with macroeconomics.

I earlier posted Fischer’s reading list for his undergraduate course at the University of Chicago in 1973. Below is the exam from the first half-semester course in the required four quarter sequence in macroeconomics for the cohort that entered MIT in the Fall of 1974, the cohort that included Paul Krugman, Jeffrey Frankel, Francesco Giavazzi, Andrew Abel, Dick Startz, to name only a few, sandwiched between Olivier Blanchard’s and Ben Bernanke’s respective cohorts.

_________________________________

 

Spring 1975

Final Exam 14.451

Stanley Fischer

Time available is two hours. Answer all questions. You have a choice on question 2.

  1. (50 points) it is sometimes asserted that the key to the effectiveness of monetary policy is the fixed nominal return on money. Suppose that means were devised of paying interest on money and that the nominal bond interest rate were fixed in an arbitrary level.
    1. Using any convenient variant of a three asset (money, bonds, capital) model, explain the determination of asset market equilibrium and then of the overall equilibrium of the economy, under the assumption of a fixed bond interest and a rate market-determined money interest rate. (Maintain this assumption here after.)
    2. Analyze the consequences of an open market purchase for the interest rate on money and other endogenous variables. What are the differences between your results and those in the more usual model in which the bond interest rate varies?
    3. Suppose a helicopter dropped bonds on the populace. What happens to the interest rate on money and other endogenous variables?
    4. What do you make of the assertion mentioned in the first sentence of this question in the light of your answers to (ii) and (iii) and/or in the light of any other relevant considerations?
    5. Extra credit (5 points max). Can you envision any type of institutional arrangements which make the premise of this question — fixed bond interest rate and market determined interest rate on money — empirically reasonable?

 

  1. Answer A or B (30 points each)

A.

  1. What theoretical reasons are there to assume the demand for money is a function of the interest rate?
  2. Why does it matter?
  3. Review relevant empirical evidence.
  4. Discuss any econometric difficulties of the empirical work.

 

B.

A household has the utility of wealth function

U(W) = W (b/2)W2.

Its initial wealth is W0.
It can hold in its portfolio a safe asset paying a safe rate of return of our rB in the risky asset paying rE+g, where rE is the expected return and sg2 is the variance of return.

    1. Derive demand functions as a function of rB, rE, sg2, and W0.
    2. Suppose that a tax on next period’s wealth is announced, at rate t, i.e. t% of wealth at the beginning of next period will be paid to the government. What effect does this have on the asset demands? Can you give an intuitive explanation?
    3. Suppose instead that positive returns on the risky assets are taxed at a rate t, but not negative returns. Thus if A2 is the holding of the risky asset, the tax is tA2(rE + g) if rE +g > 0 and zero otherwise. The return on the safe asset is not taxed. What effect does this have on asset demands?

 

  1. (20 points)
      1. Define free reserves.
      2. Define excess reserves.
      3. What effect would Federal Reserve System payment of interest on reserves held at FR banks have on the demand for reserves? (Use any appropriate model, and assumed the rate on reserves as fixed below the rate on short-term government securities and the discount rate.)
      4. What effect would these interest payments have on the money multiplier? (For simplicity, assume there is only one type of deposit in existence.)
      5. It is sometimes said that payment of interest on reserves would strengthen Fed control over the money stock. Can you justify or refute this view?

 

Source: Irwin Collier.

Image Source: MIT Museum.

Categories
Chicago Exam Questions Statistics

Chicago. Ph.D. qualifying exam in statistics. 1932

In his memo of February 1985 (Columbia University, A. G. Hart papers: Box 60, Folder “Sec I Notes on teaching materials, Learning”) Albert G. Hart wrote “I ducked the qualifying exam in statistics (in which for that date I was very well trained) because I disapproved of the focus of previous exams upon minor technicalities—hence I exploited the loophole which made ‘financial organization’ a separate field even though in principle the ‘theory’ exam included monetary economics.” The previous three postings give the examination questions for theory, economic history and financial organization (i.e. money and banking) for the qualifying exams Hart did take. I presume the exam of this posting is one he examined and then decided to duck statistics.

__________________________

[Handwritten note: University of Chicago (H Schultz)]

STATISTICS
Written Examination for the Ph.D.
Spring Quarter, 1932

Time – 3 1/2 hours

Answer seven questions: one question in Part I and two questions in each of the other parts.

PART I. Time Series

  1. Discuss the possibility of applying the theory of probability or of sampling to the study of the statistical characteristics of time series.
  2. Explain the factors that have to be taken into consideration in determining the best trend of a time series. What analyses can be made of a time series from which the trend and seasonal variation have been removed.
  3. Discuss the advantages and limitations of the elimination of seasonals (a) by subtracting, (b) by dividing.

PART II. Index Numbers

  1. Discuss the problem of assigning a precise and unambiguous meaning to a change in the price level (or to a change in some specified section of the price level, e.g., the wholesale price level of metals), touching on the contributions of Edgeworth, Fisher, Divisia, Keynes, and Bortkevitch.
  2. If you were attempting to construct a 15 commodity wholesale price index which would precede the general B.L.S. wholesale price index by at least two months as consistently as possible (a) how would you select your commodities, (b) how would you wait them in the index?
  3. Explain fully:

(a) Does Fisher’s ideal Index measure precisely and unambiguously the change in price level from one period to another of the commodities included in the index?
(b) What significance would you attach to the Factor Reversal test in the selection of the formula for price index?
(c) What significance would you attach to the Time Reversal test in the selection of a formula for a price index?

PART III. Correlation

  1. Let

x1 = annual per capita cigarette consumption

x2 = deflated average annual wholesale price of cigarettes

x3 = deflated annual expenditure on advertising

x4 = time in years

R1.234 = .998 for the period 1922-1929 inclusive

r14= .95

(a)  What meaning would you attach to R1.234?
(b) How reliable would you consider forecasts of x1  for subsequent years based on the regression of x1 on x2 , x3 , and x4 ?
(c) Adjust R1.234  for loss of degrees of freedom. Explain this adjustment.
(d) Calculate R1´.2´3´4´ in which the 1´, 2´, and 3´refer to the deviations from linear trends of the variables 1, 2 and 3.

2.  Prove and explain the following relations:     (The B’s are Greek Betas.)

(a)  R21.23 = B12.3 r12  + B13.2 r13

(b)  R21.23  = B212.3 + B213.2 + 2B12.3 B13.2  r23

What meaning can be given to the Br’s in this connection when the equation of regression is of the type

x1 = a + bx2 + ct + dt2 where t stands for time?

3.  Critically appraise the attempts that have been made to apply the method of multiple correlation to one of the following:

(a) Statistical studies of demand
(b) Statistical studies of supply
(c) Any field selected by yourself.

PART IV. Probability and Sampling

  1. Indicate the best procedures and tables to use in determining the reliability of the following constants, when the number of observations from which they have been derived is small (i.e., less than 50):

(a)  the mean
(b)  the standard deviation
(c)  the simple coefficient of correlation
(d)  the multiple coefficient of correlation
(e)  the coefficients of progression in a multiple correlation equation
(f)  the agreement of a hypothesis with observation
(g)  the presence or absence of dependence

2. In a straw vote 200,000 ballots are sent out. 100,000 are returned and of the 60,000 or marked in favor of the proposition submitted.

(a) What can you say about the reliability of this vote?
(b) If the original mailing had been increased to 800,001 increase in reliability would have been secured in the returns?
(c) List the types of errors to which straw votes are subject.

3.   189 cases were treated with tetanus serum and 80 of them were cured. 199 cases were not treated with tetanus serum and only 42 of them were cured. What is the probability that the serum has had no effect, the difference in recoveries being due to fluctuations in sampling? (Outline your solution.)

4. A factory produces a certain screw which is collected at the machine inboxes of 1200 each. Long experience has shown that the proportion of boxes which contain various percentages of bad screws is as follows:
Per Cent of Bad Screws in Box

Per Cent of
Bad Screws
in Box

 Proportion of Boxes Observed
to Contain this Percentage
of Bad Screws

0

 0.780

1

0.170

2

0.034

3

0.009

4

0.005

5

0.002
6

0.000

 

The manufacturing standard is to consider any box which contains 2% or less of bad screws is satisfactory. The normal inspection consists in the examination of 50 screws out of each box. In particular box showed six bad screws under normal inspection. What is the probability that the manufacturing standard has not been maintained in the production of this box (i.e., that the box contains more than 2% defective screens)?

N. B. – Outline your solution giving formulas, indicating required tables, etc., But do not carry out the actual computations.

Source: Columbia University Libraries, Manuscript Collections. Albert Gailord Hart Collection. Box 60; Folder “Exams: Chi[cago] Qualifying”.

Image Source: Detail from the Social Science Research Building. University of Chicago Photographic Archive, apf2-07448, Special Collections Research Center, University of Chicago Library.

Categories
Chicago Economists Exam Questions

Chicago. Economic Theory Ph.D. Qualifying Exams, 1932-33

In the papers of economist Albert G. Hart at Columbia University there is a folder that contains nearly a complete run of economic theory qualifying exams from the University of Chicago covering the period 1926-1940. I include here the exam from the Spring quarter 1932 and the exam from the Autumn Quarter 1933, though I cannot say whether Hart himself actually took either one of these two theory exams. The previous two postings have field exams (money and banking exam, economic history exam)  that are (i) unique in his papers and (ii) have his handwritten notations, e.g. questions checked and time started and ended for some questions, so we can be very sure those were indeed “his” exams. In several of the theory exams before the Autumn 1933  there are Hart-like checkmarks over the names of economists explicitly mentioned which has led me to conclude that a part of Hart’s personal examination prep was to go over the old theory examinations to identify the economists most likely to make an appearance in his own economic theory exam. The Autumn 1933 exam of this posting has no such checkmarks and would coincide with the quarter he took his money-and-banking exam. In any event today’s postings are still valuable artifacts from the early 1930s Chicago department.

________________________________

ECONOMIC THEORY
Written Examination for the Ph.D.

Spring Quarter, 1932

Time: 3 1/2 hours.

Answer seven questions, of which at least three must be in Part I. C. & A. students may substitute question 6, Part II, for any other question.

Part I

  1. Discuss the relationships between the conclusions and assumptions of the neoclassical school[✓], the Weber[✓]-Sombart[✓] school, and the American institutionalists[✓].
  2. Trace the development of the demand concept from Adam Smith to the present, touching on the contributions of J.S. Mill[✓], Cournot[✓], Fleeming Jenkin[✓], Walras[✓], Böhm-Bawerk[✓], and the statistical economists. [(Schultz)]
  3. A producer of cement has a monopoly of the market in the area adjoining his plant, but is an insignificant factor in the rest of the country, where there are many competing producers. He can sell any desired portion of his output in the competitive market at the price there prevailing. Given the price prevailing in the competitive market, the demand schedule in his own monopolized market, his own average cost schedule, and any additional information which may be necessary for the solution of the problem, find the price he should charge in his own market, and the quantities he should sell in each market, to maximize his net revenue.
  4. Answer (a) or (b), but not both.

(a) The final degree of utility curves of A and B for corn (X) and beef (Y) are as follows, the small letters x and y representing the quantities of X and Y consumed by the person indicated by the subscript.

Commodity

Person

X (corn)

Y (beef)

A

fa(xa) = – (3/2)xa + (19/2)

?a(ya) = -(1/2)ya + 6

B

fb(xb) = -(3/8)xb + 5

?b(yb) = – yb + 7

The total market supply of corn is

x = xa + xb = 14

and the total market supply of beef is

y = ya + yb = 8

Without performing any numerical computations, explain how to deduce the combined demand curves of A and B for corn in terms of beef and for beef in terms of corn.

(b) Is there an equilibrium price and output when a commodity is produced by two competing monopolists? Discuss this problem touching on the solutions of Cournot[✓], Edgeworth[✓], Amoroso[✓], and Wicksell[✓].

Part II

  1. Describe the history and status of the real cost theory [✓] of value. [Marx]
  2. Point out the resemblances and the differences between the preconceptions, the methods of analysis, and the conclusions, of Adam Smith and the physiocrates [sic], or of the mercantilists and the physiocrates [sic], or of Malthus and Ricardo.
  3. Give some reasonable objectives for a centrally planned economy in a democratic state; state the grounds of your selection of objectives; indicate and discuss possible lines of procedure for realizing them through price control.
  4. Explain and comment on the following in connection with interest theory; [BB; Hayek; Fisher[?]]

(1)  length of the productive period; (2) underestimate of the future; (3) marginal physical productivity of waiting; (4) marginal abstinence; (5) “evening out the income stream.”

5.  Discuss the significant of variability of the proportions of the factors of production and of variability of the supplies of the productive factors for a marginal productivity theory of distribution.

For C. & A. students only

6.   Discuss the feasibility and merits of inflation in the present stage of the depression.

 

Source: Columbia University Libraries, Manuscript Collections. Albert Gailord Hart Collection. Box 60, folder “Exams: Chicago”.

_____________________________________________

ECONOMIC THEORY
Written Examination for the Doctorate

[Part I, Price theory/Microeconomics]
Autumn Quarter, 1933

Time: Three Hours.

Answer all the questions as directed.

1.   (Answer both parts)

A.  Defined or very briefly describe:

(1) Inelastic demand
(2) Elastic demand
(3) Incremental (or marginal) revenue
(4) Perfect competition (in terms of demand elasticity)
(5) Pure profit
(6) Productivity (incremental or marginal of a particular agency or factor)

B.  Is export dumping evidence of domestic monopoly? Explain. Under what conditions does export dumping lead to a lower domestic price in the exporting country?

2.   (Answer either A or B)

A.  State briefly the doctrine of market price and natural price of the early classical economists; contrast this with Marshall’s analysis of long-run and short on price, and give your own view of the correct classification of viewpoints with respect to time.

B. State and critically discuss the classical doctrine of productive and unproductive labor, and in view of the issues raised formulate a correct definition of production in economics.

3.  The theory of marginal utility: its origin, principal forms or interpretations, your own view of its meaning and use in price theory, and the critical appraisal of its validity. Consider especially the relations between the use of the principle as an explanatory concept and as a premise for the discussion of social policy.

4.  (Answer either A or B)

A.  Discuss the effects of establishing by legal action be minimum wage above the wage actually received by, say, one-fourths of the workers actually employed: (a) under conditions of prosperity with approximately full employment; (b) under depression conditions with a large volume of unemployment.

B.  Criticized the view that industry fails to distribute sufficient purchasing power to buy its product, resulting in economic on balance.

5. Show graphically the effect of lowering the tariff on sugar. (Assumed domestic and foreign demand and supply curves given, and neglect any disturbances in the balance of international payments.)

6. Briefly characterize and evaluate comparatively what you considered the significant “approaches” or methodologies in economic science. (The following are to be taken as suggestive catch-words: classical, inductive, institutional, historical, deductive, price theory, sociological, socialistic, control.) We are possible, cite examples of the different tendencies in the history of economic thought from the Greeks to the present.

 

PART II
MONETARY AND CYCLE THEORY

Written Examination for the Ph.D.
Autumn Quarter, 1933

Time: 2 hours

Answer four questions, including the first two.

  1. State the classical doctrine of international gold flows and price levels and discuss some recent criticism of this doctrine.
  2. “The primary cause of business depression is the rigidities of the price structure.”  “Through their alternating contraction and expansion of the circulating medium the banks are responsible for the wide swings in industrial activity.” Discuss these statements.
  3. Discuss the theoretical short-comings involved in a policy on the part of our federal government of progressively bidding up the price of gold in foreign markets.
  4. If business recovery came without the assistance of governmental inflation it would be accompanied by an expansion of the circulating medium as a result of the lending operations of the commercial banks. What significant similarities and differences are there between such expansion and (a) government borrowing from the banks in order to finance public works, (b) outright “greenbackism”?
  5. It has been argued that in as much as the demand for capital goods is a derived demand it follows that any voluntary saving will necessarily result in some degree of unemployment. That is to say, the savings will reduce the demand for consumers’ goods, thus reducing the demand for capital goods, and consequently not all the savings will be borrowed; hence unemployment. But the commercial banks, through their power to create circulating medium, make it possible for entrepreneurs to obtain the funds with which to create capital goods without the reduction in consumer demand which comes with saving. Hence the banks furnish a means of escape from the dilemma. Discuss.

Source: Columbia University Libraries, Manuscript Collections. Albert Gailord Hart Collection. Box 60, folder “Exams: Chicago”.

Image Source:  Social Science Research Building (Lecture Hall 1). University of Chicago Photographic Archive, apf2-07482, Special Collections Research Center, University of Chicago Library.

Categories
Chicago Economists Exam Questions

Chicago. Economic History, Ph.D. qualifying exam, 1933

The previous posting was a transcription of the examination questions for the Ph.D. qualifying exam in money-and-banking (a.k.a. financial organization) at Chicago in 1933. This posting gives us the analogous exam for the field Economic History which tested both U.S. and Western European economic history equally. Bracketed checkmarks have been included for the questions that the economist A. G. Hart explicitly checked himself.  It seems  unlikely that Hart did not answer two of the last three questions of Group II, but until someone finds the typed copy of his exam (see introduction to previous posting, link above), we won’t know.

______________________

ECONOMIC HISTORY
Written Examination for the Ph.D.

[University of Chicago]
Summer Quarter, 1933

Time: 4 hours

Divide your time equally between Group I and Group II.

Where suitable, answers in outline form are preferable and will save time. Read the instructions and questions carefully.

Group I

Answer question 1 and 3 others. Time, 2 hours.

  1. [✓] What reasons can you suggest to explain why the per capita money income in the United States around the first of the twentieth century was so much higher than that in the United Kingdom?
  2. [✓] Explain how economic conditions in the colonies reacted upon the transplanting of English institutions, political, social and economic, in the colonies.
  3. Describe the chief laws governing the disposition of the public domain since 1800 and give a critical estimate of the results of this legislation.
  4. [✓] Enumerate the various ways in which our ideal of democracy (in the broad sense) has reacted upon our economic history.
  5. [✓] Outline and explain the history of our merchant marine since 1789.
  6. Trace the evolution of the financial institutions upon which agriculture had to depend for its credit since about 1820, giving a critical estimate of the adequacy of these facilities at different periods.

Group II

Answer question 1 and 3 others. Time, 2 hours

  1. [✓] Make an outline or list of the main changes in economic institutions from 12th-century West-Europe to the World War. Briefly compare the conditions of at the later date with economic organization at the height of “classical” (Greco-Roman) civilization.
  2. [✓] Discuss in detail the manner in which the rising prices during the 16th century may have affected industrial development in England, France and the Belgian provinces? What comfort can advocate of “controlled inflation” today derived from the monetary history of the 16th century in these three countries?
  3. Compare the agrarian history of Italy in the first and second centuries A.D. With that of northern France in the twelfth and thirteenth centuries A.D. To what extent, if any, can the differences be explained by the differences in the natural resources of the two countries?
  4. Trace the history of thought in connection with any one of the following three subjects from the earliest times down to the present: (a) the influence of climate upon civilization; (b) The quantity theory of money; (c) The influence of religion upon the rise of capitalism.
  5. Selects some topic in economic history which you would be interested in investigating. Tell how you would go about obtaining the material. What sort of historical criticism would you apply to the material?

 Source: Columbia University Libraries, Manuscript Collections. Albert Gailord Hart Collection. Box 60, folder “Exams: CHI QUALIFYING”.

Image Source:  Social Science Research Building (Lecture Hall 2). University of Chicago Photographic Archive, apf2-07483, Special Collections Research Center, University of Chicago Library.

Categories
Chicago Economists Exam Questions

Chicago. Money and Banking Ph.D. qualifying exam, 1933

A. G. Hart’s education and career covered the big three economics departments of his day (Harvard, Chicago and Columbia). For my research on the history of economics education his papers constitute a particularly rich vein of material. In today’s posting I have transcribed the questions for his “qualifying examination” in money-and-finance at the University of Chicago. Bracketed checkmarks indicate the questions Hart chose to answer (the checkmarks are presumably his). In his memo of February 1985 (Columbia University, A. G. Hart papers: Box 60, Folder “Sec I Notes on teaching materials, Learning”) Hart wrote that his files include “answers to ‘qualifying examinations’ in microeconomics, money-and-finance, and economics history” to which he added the following footnote: “I was allowed to write these [qualifying] exams with aid of a typewriter, so that I was able to keep a legible copy. I ducked the qualifying exam in statistics (in which for that date I was very well trained) because I disapproved of the focus of previous exams upon minor technicalities—hence I exploited the loophole which made ‘financial organization’ a separate field even though in principle the ‘theory’ exam included monetary economics.” I must have missed his typed examination answers (or they were lost or misfiled). Perhaps someone else will locate them and post a comment here some day…

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THE FINANCIAL SYSTEM AND FINANCIAL ADMINISTRATION

Written Examination for the Ph. D. Degree
[University of Chicago]
Autumn Quarter, 1933

 

Time: 4 hours.

 

Write on 7 questions, including the first two in Part I and any two in Part II.

Part I

  1. [✓] Assume a large deposit of new gold in a member bank in the United States. Show the precise manner in which this deposit would result in an expansion of the circulating medium, and the approximate extent of such expansion. Develop in terms of the following topics: (a) a single bank; (b) the banking system; (c) drain of cash into circulation.
  2. [✓] Discuss the respective merits and limitations of the following as alternative methods of contributing to sustained recovery from the current depression: (a) the program of construction of public works financed by sale of bonds to banks; (b) federal unemployment benefits financed by sale of bonds to banks; (c) open market purchase of bonds by the Federal Reserve banks.
  3. To what extent have weaknesses in our banking system been responsible for the bank failures of the last 13 years[?] Have these weaknesses been remedied by recent legislation? If not, what changes would you recommend?
  4. [✓] “A world that was striving to maintain the currency system with the wider ambit than its banking system, its tariff system, and its wage system, witnessed the smash of them all – and blamed it on gold. Now that the full extent of the chaos is realized[,] one might wonder why the whole mechanism did not break down sooner in view of the well-nigh universal refusal to observe the rules of the game (gold standard).” What is the significance of the author’s first sentence? How would you state the “rules of the game”?
  5. [✓] Discuss the theoretical short-comings involved in a policy on the part of our federal government of progressively bidding up the dollar price of gold in foreign markets.
  6. Do the following experiences with paper money throw any light on the possible outcome of the present monetary and fiscal situation in the United States? The assignats, the period of the restriction in England, the Greenback Era, the post-world-war experiences in Europe.
  7. [✓] State and evaluate the argument that “maldistribution” of income is the cause of recurrent business depressions.

 

Part II

 

  1. [✓] It is alleged that the investment market has “dried up” because investors and bankers are uncertain of the future value of the dollar and because of the paralysis of investment banking caused by the “securities law.” Do you consider the allegations sound? Why or why not?
  2. [✓] What industries would be likely to profit most from a return to the 1926 price level? What industries least? Defend your answer. Be careful to state any important assumptions. Classify industries as you please.
  3. Assume you are treasurer of an automobile manufacturing corporation having a $5,000,000 bond maturity on January 1, 1934. What factors would you consider in planning to meet this maturity and why would you consider each of them?

 

Source: Columbia University Libraries, Manuscript Collections. Albert Gailord Hart Collection. Box 60; Folder “Sec 2 Ec 230 1933 Chicago Money (Summer course)”.

Image Source:  Social Science Research Building (Entrance, North 3). University of Chicago Photographic Archive, apf2-07466, Special Collections Research Center, University of Chicago Library.

Categories
Exam Questions Harvard Suggested Reading Syllabus

Harvard. Business Cycles and Economic Forecasting. Schumpeter, 1948

Business Cycles and Economic Forecasting was a two semester graduate course at Harvard. The fall term (Economics 245a) was taught by Joseph Schumpeter and the spring term (Economics 245b) was jointly taught by Assistant Professor Richard Goodwin and Professor Gottfried Haberler. This posting includes a transcription of a carbon copy of the final exam questions for Schumpeter’s course along with his course reading list for the fall term of 1948. An undated note to the veteran’s office that identifies books that veterans be reimbursed for purchasing is included below.

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1948-49
Economics 245a
[Professor Joseph Schumpeter]
Fall Term

Work in this course will concentrate on a number of selected topics in business-cycle analysis and forecasting rather than aim at covering the entire field systematically. As much opportunity as possible will be given for discussion of, and essays on, individual problems. Some knowledge of advanced theory and advanced statistics is necessary in order to reap the full benefit from this course: providual [sic, individual] needs will be taken care of in consultation.

I.

a. Students are expected to be, or to make themselves, familiar with the two following standard works:

Haberler, Prosperity and Depression, 1941.
Pigou, Industrial Fluctuations, 1929.

b. There are a number of useful textbooks that less advanced students may usefully consult for survey purposes: E. C. Bratt, Business Cycles and Forecasting, 3rd ed., 1948, is recommended (not “assigned”).

c. Attention is called to Readings in Business-Cycle Theory (Vol. II of the Blakiston Series of Republished Articles on Economics, 1944. See especially Nos. 2, 4, 10, 12, 14, 21 and Bibliography by H. M. Somers).
William Fellner, Employment Theory and Business Cycles in A Survey of Contemporary Economics (ed. H. S. Ellis, Blakiston, 1948)

d. Perusal of The Federal Reserve Board’s Chart Books I and II is strongly recommended, and so is the study of

e. E. Frickey, Economic Fluctuations in the United States (Harvard Economic Studies, 73) which should be supplemented by
E. Frickey, Production in the United States, 1860-1914 (Harvard Economic Studies, 82)

[f. This time, the program of the course does not include Business Cycles (National Bureau of Economic Research, 1946). Owing to its importance, the book is nevertheless mentioned here for the benefit of students who propose to specialize in business cycles.]

 

II. Further suggestions with reference to topics that will be dealt with in the course.

a. Books:

J. G. Stigler, Trends in Output and Employment (N. B. E. R., 1947)
J. M. Clark, Strategic Factors in Business Cycles, 193
A. H. Hansen, Economic Policy and Full Employment, 1947
A. H. Hansen, Fiscal Policy and the Business Cycle, 1941.

b. Articles:

(1) S. H. Slichter, The Period 1919-36 in its Significance for Business-Cycle Theory, Review of Economic Statistics, 1937.
H. L. Beales, The Great Depression, Economic History Review, October, 1934.

(2) M. Kalecki, A Theory of the Business Cycle, Review of Economic Studies, February, 1937.
L. A. Metzler, Business Cycles and the Modern Theory of Employment, American Economic Review, June, 1946.
N. Kaldor, A Model of the Trade Cycle, Economic Journal, March, 1940.

(3) G. Haberler, Some Reflections on the Present Situation of Business-Cycle Theory, Review of Economic Statistics, 1936.
Hansen, Boddy, and Langum, Recent Trends in Business-Cycle Literature, Review of Economic Statistics, 1936.
H. S. Ellis, Notes on Recent Business-Cycle Literature, Review of Economic Statistics, 1938.
Jacob Marschak, A Cross Section Of Business-Cycle Discussion, American Economic Review, June, 1945.
J. Tinbergen, Critical Remarks on Some Business-Cycle Theories, Econometrica, April, 1942
T. Koopmans, The Logic of Econometric Business-Cycle Research, Journal of Political Economy, 1941.

(4) J. Einarsen, Reinvestment Cycles, Review of Economic Statistics, 1938.
W. Isard, A Neglected Cycle: The Transport-Building Cycle, Review of Economic Statistics, 1942.
O. Morgenstern, On the International Spread of Business Cycles, Journal of Political Economy, 1943.
Irving Fisher, The Debt-Deflation Theory of Great Depressions, Econometrica, 1933.

 

Source: Harvard University Archives. Syllabi, course outlines and reading lists in Economics, 1895-2003 (HUC 8522.2.1), Box 4, Folder “Economics, 1948-1949 (2 of 2)”.

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[Final Examination]

HARVARD UNIVERSITY
Economics 245 A

One question may be omitted. Arrange your answers in the order of the questions.

  1. Describe the various underconsumption theories of depressions and discuss their explanatory value.
  2. Explain the mechanism of inventory cycles and state your opinion about the importance of the phenomenon.
  3. Prolonged periods of prosperity and depression have been traced to expansions and contractions in gold productions. Analyze the action of increases or decreases in gold stocks upon the economic process of the periods in which they occurred and show how they could, or could not, have produced the cycles or sequences of cycles attributed to them.
  4. Examine the validity of harvest theories of business cycles.
  5. Accepting, for the sake of argument, the innovation theory of cycles, how would you expect money wages and real wages to behave in the course of the cyclical phases?

Final, January 1949

 

Source: Harvard University Archives. Joseph Schumpeter Papers (HUG(FP)-4.62). Lecture Notes Box 2, Folder “Business Cycle Lecture notes Fall 1948”.

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To the Veteran’s Office, with apologies for delay: [undated]

Note: Economics 203 and 245 are advanced courses in which no textbooks are assigned, and the assignments of other books are of the character of advice rather than of strict requirement. However, I mention below books which I do advise students to buy. Most of them are required in other courses.

I. For Economics 203

J. R. Hicks, Value and Distribution [sic, “Capital”], Oxford Press, New edition just out.
A. Marshall, Principles, Macmillan, any edition from 4th to 8th.
Lord Keynes, General Theory of Employment, Interest and Money, Harcourt Brace, 1st edition, 1936.
E. H. Chamberlin, Theory of Monopolistic Competition, Harvard Press, last edition.
Irving Fisher, Theory of Interest, MacMillan, 1930
K. Wicksell, Lectures Vol. I, Routledge, 19334 (if available)

 

II. For Economics 245

Alvin Hansen, Economic Policy and Full Employment, McGraw-Hill
Edwin Frickey: a) Fluctuations, b) Production, both Harvard Press
Burns and Mitchell, Measuring Business Cycles, National Bureau of Economic Research, 1819 Broadway, New York 23, N.Y.
Bratt, Business Cycles, 3rd edition, 1948, (Irwin).
[handwritten addition:] Reading in Bus. Cycles. Blakiston.

Source: Harvard University Archives. Joseph Schumpeter Papers (HUG(FP)-4.62). Lecture Notes Box 2, Folder “Misc course notes 1943-48 (found in Littauer M-5)”.

Image Source: Harvard Album, 1947.